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Die Welt 2040 – Trends und Prognosen

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Erwin-Schrödinger-Saal
Plenary / Panel
German and English language

Vortragende

Former Deputy Prime Minister and former Minister of Finance of the Republic of Poland; Professor of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Warsaw Abstract Key Note
1.There are differences in predictability regarding various parts of reality. On the one extreme we can safely predict that all the future discoveries will respect the fundamental laws of physics. On the other extreme, the probability and timing of major conflicts and of the serious economic crises are largely unpredictable. Demography is closeer to the first extreme.
2.In some case we can make conditional predictions: if A, then B, when there is a strong casual link between A and B, eg.:Extent of economic freedom → (technical change →economic growth);No capitalism → no democracy.
3.Based on these links we can say that, eg.:China will continue the catching up if it broadens economic freedom; only then it can achieve democracy; India can reduce poverty faster if it removes the regulatory and fiscal shackles on its economy.
4.Previous forecasts regarding the environment and availability of natural resources were wrong, and one should be skeptical with respect to the analytical basis of the present forecasts of the climate change. Most of the climate policies produce unnecessary harm.
President, The Foundation on Economic Trends, Washington, D.C. Key Note
Editor-in-Chief, Der Standard, derStandard.at, Vienna Chair

Prof. Leszek BALCEROWICZ

Former Deputy Prime Minister and former Minister of Finance of the Republic of Poland; Professor of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Warsaw

1989-1991 Deputy Prime Minister of Poland; Minister of Finance of Poland, Warsaw
1995-2000 President, Freedom Union, Warsaw
1997-2000 Deputy Prime Minister of Poland; Minister of Finance; President of the Economic Committee of the Council of Ministers, Warsaw
2001-2007 Governor, Central Bank of Poland, Warsaw

Jeremy RIFKIN

President, The Foundation on Economic Trends, Washington, D.C.

 Jeremy Rifkin is the author of The New York Times best selling book "The Third Industrial Revolution, How Lateral Power is Transforming Energy, the Economy, and the World". Mr. Rifkin is an adviser to the European Union and to heads of state around the world. He is a senior lecturer at the Wharton School's Executive Education Program at the University of Pennsylvania and the president of the Foundation on Economic Trends in Washington, D.C.

Dr. Alexandra FÖDERL-SCHMID

Editor-in-Chief, Der Standard, derStandard.at, Vienna

1989-1993 Studium Publizistik, Politik, Geschichte
1996 Promotion
ab 1990 Der Standard, zuerst Mitarbeit in Linz und Wien
1993-1998 Deutschland-Korrespondentin
1998-1999 Mitglied in der außenpolitischen Redaktion
1999-2005 Deutschland-Korrespondentin
2005 EU-Korrespondentin in Brüssel
2006 Ressortleiterin Wirtschaft
seit 2007 Chefredakteurin, Der Standard
seit 2012 Co-Herausgeberin, Der Standard und derStandard.at
seit 2013 Chefredakteurin, derStandard.at

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