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Dr. Kesten GREEN Senior Research Fellow, Business and Economic Forecasting Unit, Monash University, Melbourne

CV

1981-1982 Department of Economics at Victoria University of Wellington
1982-1985 Founder and Director of the publisher of Bettor Informed, a computerised horse-racing information magazine based on assessment of probabilities under different conditions
1985-1994 Founder and Director of Infometrics Limited, a leading New Zealand economic forecasting and consulting house
1994-1995 Founder and Managing Director of Pisé Blocks Limited, a manufacturer of pressed earth blocks for construction
since 1995 Founder and Managing Director of Decision Research Ltd, which provides forecasts, programme evaluations, and surveys, as well as advice on forecasting, research, and management decision making
2000-2001 Senior Research Fellow, Victoria Management School, Victoria University of Wellington
2004 Visiting Senior Lecturer, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash University
since 2005 Senior Research Fellow, Business and Economic Forecasting Unit, Monash University

Memberships

Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS)
International Association for Conflict Management (IACM)
International Institute of Forecasters (IIF)
Society for Judgement and Decision Making (SJDM)

Publications

Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement International Journal of Forecasting, 18, 321-344, 2002
Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts: Further evidence. International Journal of Forecasting, 21, 463-472, 2005
Green, K. C. & Armstrong, J. S.. Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts. Energy & Environment, 18, 997-1021, 2007
Green, K. C. & Armstrong, J. S.. Structured analogies for forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 23, 365-376, 2007

Awards

Best Paper Award 2002-2003 from IIF and Elsevier for Green, 2002